Fair Vernon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 50.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 49% of average household income of $85,588, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. It sits 2.2 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. At $3,477 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Springfield commands.

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Disability prevalence runs 47.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 3.5% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.