2 census tracts · pop 8,243 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10
· range 6.1–6.5
Fair Vernon takes in 2 census tracts of Springfield, VA, population 8,243. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.2/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 60% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Springfield rate of 41.4%.
34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Running cool is economic stress, at 2.2/10. At $2,190 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Springfield commands. 3.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.
Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Springfield, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Monticello Forest and Beverly Forest. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $120,570. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 6.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Fair Vernon vs SpringfieldHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fair Vernon
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.1%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
8.5%No health insurance
29.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Fair Vernon
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Fair Vernon?
Fair Vernon scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Fair Vernon compare to Springfield overall?
Fair Vernon scores 0.3 points higher than Springfield overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $2,190 vs $2,656.
Q3
What is the average rent in Fair Vernon?
Average gross rent in Fair Vernon is $2,190/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Fair Vernon residents are renters?
42% of Fair Vernon households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 8,243 residents.
Q5
Is Fair Vernon a high social-vulnerability area?
Fair Vernon sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Fair Vernon have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Fair Vernon is census tract 51059431601 (score 6.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 6.5, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Fair Vernon for landlords?
Fair Vernon carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Fair Vernon?
Fair Vernon has 8,290 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.9%), Hispanic / Latino (12.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.