Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Hillwood Eviction Risk: Lower , West Falls Church
Tract 51059450300 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,088 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 51059450300 in the Hillwood area of West Falls Church, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,088 residents. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, about one in five of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,973
Renter share40.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$151,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Falls Church and the region
Centroid at 38.8747, -77.1725 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillwood scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Falls Church
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,424 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Falls Church
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Falls Church
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Falls Church
4.7
How Hillwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2012)
- 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillwood
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $2,424 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of West Falls Church commands. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 9.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $151,250.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059450300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450300?
Census tract 51059450300 in the Hillwood neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059450300?
Median gross rent is $2,424/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450300?
5.2% of residents in tract 51059450300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,088.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 39th, minority 67th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51059450300 considered part of Hillwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450300 fall within Hillwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059450300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.63% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059450300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059450300 compare to West Falls Church overall?
Tract 51059450300 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of West Falls Church at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Falls Church eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Falls Church
Top eight tracts in West Falls Church ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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