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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,870 of 84,120 nationally

Old Courthouse Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tysons

Tract 51059460501 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,515 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51059460501 sits in the Old Courthouse neighborhood of Tysons, Virginia. It has a population of 2,515 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 51% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 6% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $3,500/month against a median household income of $209,231 — roughly 20% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.0
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 4% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units912
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$209,231

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Old Courthouse
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank — 86th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 8 tracts In Tysons
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank — 81th percentileBottomTop
#52 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank — 82th percentileBottomTop
#400 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tysons and the region

Centroid at 38.9101, -77.2335 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Courthouse scores 6.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tysons
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,500 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tysons
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tysons
3.9

How Old Courthouse compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Courthouse risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 460501Tysons: 4.74.7Tysonsparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2011)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594605012011: 2 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.81/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Courthouse. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059460501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460501?

Census tract 51059460501 in the Old Courthouse neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059460501?

Median gross rent is $3,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460501?

2.6% of residents in tract 51059460501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,515.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 41th, minority 60th, housing 5th.

Q5

Is tract 51059460501 considered part of Old Courthouse?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460501 fall within Old Courthouse (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059460501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059460501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.29% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059460501 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059460501 compare to Tysons overall?

Tract 51059460501 scores 6.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Tysons at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tysons

Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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