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Neighborhood · Tysons, VA

Old Courthouse Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,069 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.3–6

Old Courthouse spans 2 census tracts of Tysons, VA, population 6,069. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 39% against 25.0% citywide, putting Old Courthouse 14.1% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 29.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

At $2,992 a month, rents sit 20% over what the rest of Tysons commands. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.9/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Disability prevalence reaches 17.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions logged in this tract.

9% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 1.6% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.5% in 2016 against a 1.6% peak.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Tysons, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Old Courthouse vs Tysons How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.1% +56%
Tysons: 25.0%
Average gross rent
$2,992 +20%
Tysons: $2,497
Average HH income
$160,293 +24%
Tysons: $129,189
Poverty rate
5.6% -16%
Tysons: 6.7%
Renter share
53.3% -19%
Tysons: 65.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Courthouse and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–6

Why Old Courthouse scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.4–10.0 across tracts
7.9
Risk score comparison

Old Courthouse vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Old Courthouse score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Old Courthouse: 5.75.7Old CourthouseNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Old Courthouse

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059480205 6 3,554 31% $2,633
51059460501 5.3 2,515 51% $3,500
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Old Courthouse

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings (sum)
  • 1.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak year (2011)
  • 1.45%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Courthouse

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Old Courthouse

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Courthouse?

Old Courthouse scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Old Courthouse compare to Tysons overall?

Old Courthouse scores 0.2 points lower than Tysons overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,992 vs $2,497.
Q3

What is the average rent in Old Courthouse?

Average gross rent in Old Courthouse is $2,992/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Old Courthouse residents are renters?

53% of Old Courthouse households are renter-occupied (vs 66% in Tysons). The neighborhood has 6,069 residents.
Q5

Is Old Courthouse a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Courthouse sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Old Courthouse have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Courthouse is census tract 51059480205 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Old Courthouse for landlords?

Old Courthouse carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tysons as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Courthouse?

Old Courthouse has 6,211 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Courthouse

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tysons

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old Courthouse.

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