Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Fairlee Eviction Risk: Lower , Oakton
Tract 51059461603 ·
Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,099 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 51059461603 in the Fairlee area of Oakton, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%Stable renters 31%Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,291
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$146,058
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Fairlee
Very Low
Within parent city
29th percentile
#6 of 8 tracts In Oakton
Low
Within county
16th percentile
#230 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
31th percentile
#1,505 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakton and the region
Centroid at 38.8712, -77.2721 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairlee scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakton
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,364 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakton
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakton
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakton
3.5
How Fairlee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.4%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
4.2%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
11.9%Frequent mental distress
18.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairlee
Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059461603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059461603?
Census tract 51059461603 in the Fairlee neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059461603?
Median gross rent is $2,364/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059461603?
2.3% of residents in tract 51059461603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,099.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059461603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 32th, minority 68th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 51059461603 considered part of Fairlee?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059461603 fall within Fairlee (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059461603 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059461603 compare to Oakton overall?
Tract 51059461603 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oakton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oakton
Top eight tracts in Oakton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.