Fairlee Eviction Risk: Lower , Oakton

The voucher gap is 32.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,076, 35% above the Oakton average.

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 20 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 1.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.