Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Oakton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059461201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,033
Tract 51059461201 sits in Oakton eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 4,033. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,402
Renter share1.1%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.8%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakton and the region
Centroid at 38.8871, -77.3126 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakton scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oakton
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakton
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakton
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakton
3.5
How Oakton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 3 yrs
- 9.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2013)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.0%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.1%Food insecurity
- 2.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.0%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakton
Food insecurity runs 4.1% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 filings here across 3 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2013 at 14.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 9.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 1% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059461201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059461201?
Census tract 51059461201 in Oakton scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059461201?
0.8% of residents in tract 51059461201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,033.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059461201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 26th, minority 46th, housing 2th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059461201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059461201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.16% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51059461201 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51059461201 compare to Oakton overall?
Tract 51059461201 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oakton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oakton
Top eight tracts in Oakton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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