Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Oakton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059461100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 7,378
51059461100 is a census tract in Oakton, VA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,378. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,589
Renter share16.4%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$202,574
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakton and the region
Centroid at 38.8987, -77.2916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakton scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oakton
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,282 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakton
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakton
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakton
3.5
How Oakton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 159Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.1%Peak (2011)
- 34Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakton
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.2% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 159 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Cost burden runs 37% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. Filings peaked in 2011 at 8.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059461100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059461100?
Census tract 51059461100 in Oakton scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059461100?
Median gross rent is $2,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059461100?
2.7% of residents in tract 51059461100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,378.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059461100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 38th, minority 53th, housing 24th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059461100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 159 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059461100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.21% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059461100 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059461100 compare to Oakton overall?
Tract 51059461100 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oakton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oakton
Top eight tracts in Oakton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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