Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,188 of 84,120 nationally
Evermay Eviction Risk: Moderate , McLean
Tract 51059470400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,142 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51059470400 sits in the Evermay neighborhood of McLean, Virginia. It has a population of 5,142 and an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). 27% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 13% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $3,501/month against a median household income of $250,001 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,616
Renter share9.7%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across McLean and the region
Centroid at 38.9362, -77.1541 · click any tract to drill in
Why Evermay scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
4.1
How Evermay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.2%Peak (2013)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.0%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.3%Food insecurity
- 2.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.1%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 51059470400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470400?
Census tract 51059470400 in the Evermay neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059470400?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470400?
2.5% of residents in tract 51059470400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,142.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 61th, minority 40th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 51059470400 considered part of Evermay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059470400 fall within Evermay (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059470400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.16% of renter households, peaking at 1.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059470400 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059470400 compare to McLean overall?
Tract 51059470400 scores 5.2/10 — higher than the parent city of McLean at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in McLean
Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Langley Oaks
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Franklin Forest
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Chain Bridge Forest
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Belleview
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
West McLean
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Broyhill-Glen Gary Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Southridge
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ingleside
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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