Evermay Eviction Risk: Lower
1 census tracts · pop 5,142 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4
Evermay maps to a single census tract in McLean, VA and houses 5,142 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.4/10, placing it in the Lower tier. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.
about a quarter of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. SNAP participation is 2.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
2.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records for this tract carry 5 eviction filings.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 1.2% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.6% in 2016 against a 1.2% peak.
That places it #6 of 12 neighborhoods in McLean. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
For a like-for-like read, Haver Hills and Belleview score within a fraction of it.
One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Evermay and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4
Why Evermay scores 3.4
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyEvermay vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
1 tracts in Evermay
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51059470400 | 3.4 | 5,142 | 27% | $3,501 |
CDC SVI percentile: 6
Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Evermay
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings (sum)
- 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.2%Peak year (2013)
- 1.64%Latest filed (2016)
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Evermay
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 4.0%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility shutoff threat
- 4.3%Food insecurity
- 2.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 19.8%Any disability
About Evermay
How does Evermay compare to McLean overall?
What is the average rent in Evermay?
What percentage of Evermay residents are renters?
Is Evermay a high social-vulnerability area?
How safe is Evermay for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Evermay?
Other neighborhoods near Evermay
Other neighborhoods inside McLean
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Evermay.