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Neighborhood · McLean, VA

Evermay Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,142 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Evermay maps to a single census tract in McLean, VA and houses 5,142 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.4/10, placing it in the Lower tier. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.

about a quarter of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. SNAP participation is 2.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

2.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records for this tract carry 5 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 1.2% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.6% in 2016 against a 1.2% peak.

That places it #6 of 12 neighborhoods in McLean. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Haver Hills and Belleview score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Evermay vs McLean How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.8% -9%
McLean: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +2%
McLean: $3,422
Average HH income
$250,001 +0%
McLean: $250,001
Poverty rate
2.5% -7%
McLean: 2.7%
Renter share
9.7% -30%
McLean: 13.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Evermay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Evermay scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Economic stress
2.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Evermay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Evermay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4EvermayNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Evermay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059470400 3.4 5,142 27% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Evermay

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings (sum)
  • 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.2%Peak year (2013)
  • 1.64%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Evermay

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Evermay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Evermay?

Evermay scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Evermay compare to McLean overall?

Evermay scores 0.6 points lower than McLean overall (4/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $3,422.
Q3

What is the average rent in Evermay?

Average gross rent in Evermay is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Evermay residents are renters?

10% of Evermay households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in McLean). The neighborhood has 5,142 residents.
Q5

Is Evermay a high social-vulnerability area?

Evermay sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Evermay for landlords?

Evermay carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to McLean as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Evermay?

Evermay has 5,153 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Evermay

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside McLean

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Evermay.

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