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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Haver Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean

Tract 51059480301 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,225 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 51059480301 covers part of the Haver Hills area of McLean, VA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,225 residents. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 5% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,039
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Haver Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 13 tracts In McLean
Moderate
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#231 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,505 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across McLean and the region

Centroid at 38.9748, -77.2734 · click any tract to drill in

Why Haver Hills scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
4.1

How Haver Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Haver Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 480301McLean: 4.04.0McLeanparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Haver Hills

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 2.4% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 3.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059480301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480301?

Census tract 51059480301 in the Haver Hills neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059480301?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480301?

3.0% of residents in tract 51059480301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,225.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 25th, minority 61th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51059480301 considered part of Haver Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059480301 fall within Haver Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51059480301 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51059480301 compare to McLean overall?

Tract 51059480301 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of McLean at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McLean

Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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