Neighborhood · Ranked #56,146 of 84,120 nationally

Olney Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tysons

Tract 51059471201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,072 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 51059471201 sits in the Olney Park neighborhood of Tysons, Virginia. It has a population of 3,072 and an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). 18% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 5% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,027/month against a median household income of $120,739 — roughly 20% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 38% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,651

Renter share46.5%

SVI overall0.24

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$120,739

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tysons and the region

Centroid at 38.9176, -77.2151 · click any tract to drill in

Why Olney Park scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tysons

8.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$2,027 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tysons

3.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tysons

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tysons

3.9

How Olney Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

7%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

48Total filings over 4 yrs
1.14%Avg annual filing rate
1.7%Peak (2016)
18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2011 — 2016

Filings climbed 38% over the past 4 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Olney Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.5%Housing insecurity
3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.9%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
10.8%Frequent mental distress
18.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 51059471201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471201?

Census tract 51059471201 in the Olney Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51059471201?

Median gross rent is $2,027/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471201?

6.0% of residents in tract 51059471201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,072.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 24th, minority 77th, housing 50th.

Is tract 51059471201 considered part of Olney Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471201 fall within Olney Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059471201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059471201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.14% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51059471201 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51059471201 compare to Tysons overall?

Tract 51059471201 scores 4.8/10 — right in line with the parent city of Tysons at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tysons

Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.