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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Olney Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tysons

Tract 51059471203 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,943 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 51059471203 sits in the Olney Park neighborhood of Tysons, Virginia. It has a population of 2,943 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 57% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 31% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,746/month against a median household income of $131,563 — roughly 25% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 26% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,342
Renter share60.2%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$131,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 3 tracts In Olney Park
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank — 71th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 8 tracts In Tysons
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank — 81th percentileBottomTop
#53 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank — 79th percentileBottomTop
#460 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tysons and the region

Centroid at 38.9265, -77.2000 · click any tract to drill in

Why Olney Park scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tysons
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,746 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tysons
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tysons
3.9

How Olney Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Olney Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 471203Tysons: 4.74.7Tysonsparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Olney Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059471203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471203?

Census tract 51059471203 in the Olney Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059471203?

Median gross rent is $2,746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471203?

3.3% of residents in tract 51059471203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,943.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 3th, minority 62th, housing 14th.

Q5

Is tract 51059471203 considered part of Olney Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471203 fall within Olney Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 51059471203 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 51059471203 compare to Tysons overall?

Tract 51059471203 scores 5.9/10 — higher than the parent city of Tysons at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tysons

Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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