Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Olney Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Tysons
Tract 51059471204 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,309 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51059471204 runs through the Olney Park neighborhood of Tysons. With 3,309 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #50,040 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 22% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,293 a month against an average household income of $144,167 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 55%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share70.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$144,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tysons and the region
Centroid at 38.9259, -77.2070 · click any tract to drill in
Why Olney Park scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tysons
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,293 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tysons
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
How Olney Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Olney Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Olney Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tysons eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059471204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471204?
Census tract 51059471204 in the Olney Park neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059471204?
Median gross rent is $2,293/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471204?
8.8% of residents in tract 51059471204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,309.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 6th, minority 73th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 51059471204 considered part of Olney Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471204 fall within Olney Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059471204 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059471204 compare to Tysons overall?
Tract 51059471204 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Tysons at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tysons
Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ash Grove
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Old Courthouse
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Olney Park
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
McLean Hamlet
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Tysons Green
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Olney Park
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Old Courthouse
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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