Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Herndon Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059480901 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,335 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
In the Herndon Heights area of Herndon, census tract 51059480901 scores 4.7/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #61,224 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 24% of renter households, a moderate level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,750 a month while the average household earns $141,250 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share25.7%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$141,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Herndon and the region
Centroid at 38.9677, -77.3978 · click any tract to drill in
Why Herndon Heights scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Herndon
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,750 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Herndon
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Herndon
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Herndon
4.3
How Herndon Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 118Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2016)
- 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Herndon Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.1%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Herndon Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Herndon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 118 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059480901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480901?
Census tract 51059480901 in the Herndon Heights neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059480901?
Median gross rent is $1,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480901?
5.8% of residents in tract 51059480901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 56th, minority 79th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51059480901 considered part of Herndon Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059480901 fall within Herndon Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059480901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 118 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059480901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059480901 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059480901 compare to Herndon overall?
Tract 51059480901 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Herndon at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Herndon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Herndon
Top eight tracts in Herndon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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