3 census tracts · pop 17,069 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10
· range 4.1–7.3
Herndon Heights takes in 3 census tracts of Herndon, VA, population 17,069. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, Moderate tier. Against a Herndon baseline of 23.3%, 36% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 4.1 to 7.3. A 3.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. Filings are well documented here: 645 across 3 observed tracts.
On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 10.0% of renter households. At $2,069 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Herndon commands.
Judgments average 2.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $118,698.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Herndon Heights vs HerndonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Herndon Heights
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
645Total filings (sum)
6.20%Avg annual filing rate
10.0%Peak year (2016)
7.57%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Herndon Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.6%Housing insecurity
8.0%Utility shutoff threat
18.3%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
15.9%No health insurance
27.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Herndon Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Herndon Heights?
Herndon Heights scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Herndon Heights compare to Herndon overall?
Herndon Heights scores 1.2 points higher than Herndon overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $2,069 vs $2,259.
Q3
What is the average rent in Herndon Heights?
Average gross rent in Herndon eviction risk Heights is $2,069/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Herndon Heights residents are renters?
43% of Herndon Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Herndon). The neighborhood has 17,069 residents.
Q5
Is Herndon Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Herndon Heights sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Herndon Heights have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Herndon Heights is census tract 51059481000 (score 7.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 7.3, a spread of 3.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Herndon Heights for landlords?
Herndon eviction risk Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Herndon as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Herndon Heights?
Herndon Heights has 17,393 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
