Halley Rise Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059481201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,435 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Halley Rise in Reston is where census tract 51059481201 sits, home to 1,435 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.4/10. It lands near the 19th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,850 monthly, set against $213,125 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9477, -77.3842 · click any tract to drill in
Why Halley Rise scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Halley Rise compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 1 yrs
- 10.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2011)
- 5Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Halley Rise. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Halley Rise
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Reston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059481201
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481201?
What is the average rent in tract 51059481201?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481201?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481201?
Is tract 51059481201 considered part of Halley Rise?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481201?
What share of households in tract 51059481201 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059481201 compare to Reston overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.