Halley Rise Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059481201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,435 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
51059481201 is a census tract in the Halley Rise area of Reston, VA. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,435. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9477, -77.3842 · click any tract to drill in
Why Halley Rise scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Halley Rise compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 1 yrs
- 10.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2011)
- 5Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Halley Rise. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Halley Rise
At $2,850 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Reston commands. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 23.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 filings here across 1 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059481201
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481201?
What is the average rent in tract 51059481201?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481201?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481201?
Is tract 51059481201 considered part of Halley Rise?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481201?
What share of households in tract 51059481201 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059481201 compare to Reston overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.