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Neighborhood · Reston, VA

Halley Rise Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,478 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.4–4.7

Halley Rise is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Reston with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,478 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 16% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 5% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,077/month sits 7% lower than the Reston citywide median ($2,231).

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Halley Rise vs Reston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
16.4% -35%
Reston: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$2,077 -7%
Reston: $2,231
Average HH income
$128,730 -8%
Reston: $139,515
Poverty rate
4.2% -23%
Reston: 5.4%
Renter share
31.3% -21%
Reston: 39.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Halley Rise and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.4–4.7

Why Halley Rise scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
16% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
4.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–7.3 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Halley Rise vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Halley Rise score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Halley Rise: 4.64.6Halley RiseNeighborhoodParent city: 5.15.1Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Halley Rise

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059481202 4.7 6,043 20% $1,894
51059481201 4.4 1,435 0% $2,850
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Halley Rise

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 253Total filings (sum)
  • 8.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak year (2011)
  • 7.67%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Halley Rise

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Halley Rise

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Halley Rise?

Halley Rise scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Halley Rise compare to Reston overall?

Halley Rise scores 0.5 points lower than Reston overall (5.1/10). Renters spend 16% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Median rent: $2,077 vs $2,231.

Q3

What is the average rent in Halley Rise?

Median gross rent in Halley Rise is $2,077/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Halley Rise residents are renters?

31% of Halley Rise households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Reston). The neighborhood has 7,478 residents.

Q5

Is Halley Rise a high social-vulnerability area?

Halley Rise sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Halley Rise have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Halley Rise is census tract 51059481202 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 4.7 — a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Halley Rise for landlords?

Halley Rise carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Reston as a whole (5.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Halley Rise?

Halley Rise has 7,504 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37.8%), Hispanic / Latino (29.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Halley Rise

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Reston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Halley Rise.

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