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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Deepwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston

Tract 51059481400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,869 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 51059481400 sits in the Deepwood area of Reston eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 6,869. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,592
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$151,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Deepwood
Elevated
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 19 tracts In Reston
Very Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#158 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9276, -77.3414 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deepwood scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,902 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Deepwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deepwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 481400Reston: 4.34.3Restonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594814002011: 9 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (0.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 9 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (1.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Deepwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deepwood

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.

Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 30 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $1,902, 15% below the Reston average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 1.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $151,406, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059481400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481400?

Census tract 51059481400 in the Deepwood neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059481400?

Median gross rent is $1,902/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481400?

3.6% of residents in tract 51059481400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,869.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 58th, minority 54th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 51059481400 considered part of Deepwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059481400 fall within Deepwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059481400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.11% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059481400 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059481400 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059481400 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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