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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Deepwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston

Tract 51059481400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,869 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Deepwood area of Reston, census tract 51059481400 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,902 a month while the average household earns $151,406 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,592
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$151,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Deepwood
Elevated
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 19 tracts In Reston
Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,987 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9276, -77.3414 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deepwood scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,902 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Deepwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deepwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 481400Reston: 3.43.4Restonparent cityCounty: 1.51.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594814002011: 9 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (0.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 9 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (1.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Deepwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deepwood

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Reston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059481400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481400?

Census tract 51059481400 in the Deepwood neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059481400?

Median gross rent is $1,902/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481400?

3.6% of residents in tract 51059481400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,869.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 58th, minority 54th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 51059481400 considered part of Deepwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059481400 fall within Deepwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059481400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.11% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059481400 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059481400 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059481400 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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