Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Deepwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059482303 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,290 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 51059482303 in the Deepwood area of Reston, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,290 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,683
Renter share23.5%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$141,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9337, -77.3362 · click any tract to drill in
Why Deepwood scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,163 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Deepwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2011)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Deepwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.0%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 20.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Deepwood
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.0% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 14 evictions over 3 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482303?
Census tract 51059482303 in the Deepwood neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482303?
Median gross rent is $2,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482303?
1.7% of residents in tract 51059482303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,290.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 25th, minority 40th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482303 considered part of Deepwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482303 fall within Deepwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059482303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.91% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482303 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482303 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482303 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Deepwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Halley Rise
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Colvin's Glen
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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