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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Deepwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston

Tract 51059481500 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,343 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 51059481500 sits in the Deepwood area of Reston eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. It is home to 2,343 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units762
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Deepwood
Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 19 tracts In Reston
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#162 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9189, -77.3371 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deepwood scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Deepwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deepwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 481500Reston: 4.34.3Restonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 5.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2011)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594815002011: 3 filings (7.32/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (2.44/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Deepwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deepwood

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 2.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 4.3% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 filings here across 3 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 7.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059481500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481500?

Census tract 51059481500 in the Deepwood neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481500?

2.6% of residents in tract 51059481500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,343.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 27th, minority 27th, housing 1th.
Q4

Is tract 51059481500 considered part of Deepwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059481500 fall within Deepwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059481500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.01% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51059481500 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51059481500 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059481500 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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