Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Timberline Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Short Pump
Tract 51087200139 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,059 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51087200139 covers Timberline Village in Short Pump, home to 4,059 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #31,135 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,662 a month while the average household earns $98,264 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,801
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$98,264
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Short Pump and the region
Centroid at 37.6346, -77.6444 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timberline Village scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Short Pump
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Short Pump
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Short Pump
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Short Pump
3.7
How Timberline Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timberline Village
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Short Pump eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200139
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200139?
Census tract 51087200139 in the Timberline Village neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200139?
Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200139?
4.7% of residents in tract 51087200139 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,059.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200139?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 36th, minority 45th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200139 considered part of Timberline Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200139 fall within Timberline Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087200139 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087200139 compare to Short Pump overall?
Tract 51087200139 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Short Pump at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Short Pump eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Short Pump
Top eight tracts in Short Pump ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Barrington Valley
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Kensington Green at Wellesley
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Gayton Park
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Bridlewood
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Barrington Valley
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Huntwick at Wellesley
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Westfield
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Addison at Wyndham
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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