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Neighborhood · Short Pump, VA

Timberline Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,059 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2-6.2

Timberline Village is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Short Pump with 1 census tract and a population of 4,059 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,662/month sits 10% lower than the Short Pump citywide average ($1,847).

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Timberline Village vs Short Pump How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.9% +55%
Short Pump: 25.8%
Average gross rent
$1,662 -10%
Short Pump: $1,847
Average HH income
$98,264 -26%
Short Pump: $132,194
Poverty rate
4.7% +8%
Short Pump: 4.4%
Renter share
35.7% -15%
Short Pump: 42.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Timberline Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2-6.2

Why Timberline Village scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5-6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.3-4.3 across tracts
4.3
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 4.5-4.5 across tracts
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5-3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.6-8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7-3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.2-1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7-4.7 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Timberline Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Timberline Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Timberline Village: 6.26.2Timberline VillageNeighborhoodParent city: 5.75.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Timberline Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087200139 6.2 4,059 40% $1,662
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Timberline Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Timberline Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Timberline Village?

Timberline Village scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Timberline Village compare to Short Pump overall?

Timberline Village scores 0.5 points higher than Short Pump overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,662 vs $1,847.

Q3

What is the average rent in Timberline Village?

Average gross rent in Timberline Village is $1,662/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Timberline Village residents are renters?

36% of Timberline Village households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Short Pump). The neighborhood has 4,059 residents.

Q5

Is Timberline Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Timberline Village sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

How safe is Timberline Village for landlords?

Timberline Village carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Short Pump as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Timberline Village?

Timberline Village has 4,233 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Timberline Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Short Pump

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Timberline Village.

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