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Census Tract · Ranked #63,834 of 84,120 nationally

Sterling Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51107611601 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,035

Census tract 51107611601 is in Sterling, Virginia. It has a population of 4,035 and an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). 13% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,570/month against a median household income of $143,041 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 16% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,488
Renter share18.8%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$143,041

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank — 0th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 6 tracts In Sterling
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank — 8th percentileBottomTop
#69 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank — 19th percentileBottomTop
#1,777 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
24 th percentile
Rank — 24th percentileBottomTop
#63,834 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sterling and the region

Centroid at 38.9979, -77.4237 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sterling scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sterling
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,570 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sterling
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sterling
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sterling
4.6

How Sterling compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sterling risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 611601Sterling: 5.05.0Sterlingparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2016)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611601?

Census tract 51107611601 in Sterling scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611601?

Median gross rent is $2,570/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611601?

4.3% of residents in tract 51107611601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,035.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 14th, minority 72th, housing 50th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 51107611601 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 51107611601 compare to Sterling overall?

Tract 51107611601 scores 4.5/10 — lower than the parent city of Sterling at 5.0/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sterling eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sterling

Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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