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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Montebello Eviction Risk: Lower , Sterling

Tract 51107611502 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,998 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 51107611502 sits in the Montebello area of Sterling eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 6,998. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 8% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,082
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$135,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Montebello
Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Sterling
Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#43 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,111 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sterling and the region

Centroid at 39.0156, -77.4032 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montebello scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sterling
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,892 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sterling
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sterling
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sterling
4.6

How Montebello compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Montebello risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 611502Sterling: 4.04.0Sterlingparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Montebello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montebello

Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $1,892, 12% below the Sterling average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $135,625, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611502?

Census tract 51107611502 in the Montebello neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611502?

Median gross rent is $1,892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611502?

4.5% of residents in tract 51107611502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,998.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 26th, minority 80th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611502 considered part of Montebello?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611502 fall within Montebello (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.94% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611502 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611502 compare to Sterling overall?

Tract 51107611502 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Sterling at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sterling eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sterling

Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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