Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Montebello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sterling
Tract 51107611300 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,835 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51107611300 covers part of the Montebello area of Sterling, VA, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,835. Cost burden runs 14% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,157
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$130,913
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sterling and the region
Centroid at 39.0114, -77.3860 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montebello scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sterling
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,163 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sterling
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sterling
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sterling
4.6
How Montebello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2016)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Montebello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 13.2%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montebello
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 20 filings here across 1 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Loudoun County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $2,163, close to the Sterling average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $130,913. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611300?
Census tract 51107611300 in the Montebello neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611300?
Median gross rent is $2,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611300?
9.8% of residents in tract 51107611300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,835.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 59th, minority 84th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611300 considered part of Montebello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611300 fall within Montebello (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611300 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611300 compare to Sterling overall?
Tract 51107611300 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Sterling at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sterling eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sterling
Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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