Windsor Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Ridge
Tract 51153901237 · Prince William County, VA · pop 2,982 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
In Windsor Park in Lake Ridge, census tract 51153901237 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #37,649 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,012 a month while the average household earns $114,783 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lake Ridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6856, -77.3277 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Park scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Windsor Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 46Total filings over 1 yrs
- 17.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.9%Peak (2016)
- 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Ridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901237
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901237?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901237?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901237?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901237?
Is tract 51153901237 considered part of Windsor Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901237?
What share of households in tract 51153901237 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901237 compare to Lake Ridge overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Ridge
Top eight tracts in Lake Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.