Lake Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51153901222 · Prince William County, VA · pop 2,624
The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 51153901222 reflects conditions in Lake Ridge in Prince William County, Virginia. On the national scale it ranks #37,647 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,381 monthly, set against $129,722 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lake Ridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6996, -77.3053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Ridge scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lake Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.7%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lake Ridge
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Ridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.7% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901222
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901222?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901222?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901222?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901222?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901222?
What share of households in tract 51153901222 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901222 compare to Lake Ridge overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Ridge
Top eight tracts in Lake Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.