Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
South Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020600 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,908 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51550020600 covers part of the South Hill area of Chesapeake, VA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,908. Cost burden runs 21% here against 49.2% across Chesapeake City.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share7.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$89,342
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7916, -76.2750 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Hill scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How South Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 196Total filings over 6 yrs
- 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2013)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 9.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Hill
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. At $1,150 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Chesapeake commands.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
The filing record is not thin: 196 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $89,342, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020600?
Census tract 51550020600 in the South Hill neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550020600?
Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020600?
10.4% of residents in tract 51550020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,908.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 21th, minority 53th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51550020600 considered part of South Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020600 fall within South Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550020600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 196 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550020600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550020600 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550020600 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020600 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51550020600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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