Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Sandy Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021506 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,607 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 51550021506 in the Sandy Pines area of Chesapeake, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,607 residents. Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, 24% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units876
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$83,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7987, -76.4022 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sandy Pines scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,847 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Sandy Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.1%Housing insecurity
- 16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.7%Food insecurity
- 25.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sandy Pines
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,847 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Chesapeake commands. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.
Food insecurity runs 26.7% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Chesapeake as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $83,571.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021506
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021506?
Census tract 51550021506 in the Sandy Pines neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021506?
Median gross rent is $1,847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021506?
19.4% of residents in tract 51550021506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,607.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021506?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 33th, minority 89th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021506 considered part of Sandy Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021506 fall within Sandy Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550021506 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550021506 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021506 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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