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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550020912 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,351 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the Oak Grove neighborhood of Chesapeake, census tract 51550020912 scores 4.7/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #61,274 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,671 a month while the average household earns $67,530 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 26% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,043
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$67,530

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oak Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Very High
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#920 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7403, -76.2459 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Grove scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,671 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Oak Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 020912Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550020912

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020912?

Census tract 51550020912 in the Oak Grove neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550020912?

Median gross rent is $1,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020912?

15.0% of residents in tract 51550020912 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,351.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020912?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 91th, minority 73th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 51550020912 considered part of Oak Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020912 fall within Oak Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550020912 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550020912 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550020912 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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