Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020912 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,351 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51550020912 covers part of the Oak Grove area of Chesapeake, VA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,351 residents. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,043
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$67,530
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7403, -76.2459 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Grove scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,671 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Oak Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 16.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Chesapeake as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,671, close to the Chesapeake average.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $67,530.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020912
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020912?
Census tract 51550020912 in the Oak Grove neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550020912?
Median gross rent is $1,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020912?
15.0% of residents in tract 51550020912 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,351.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020912?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 91th, minority 73th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51550020912 considered part of Oak Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020912 fall within Oak Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550020912 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550020912 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020912 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related