Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
College Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020809 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 5,145 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Lower-tier score of 3.8/10 for census tract 51550020809 reflects conditions in College Park in Chesapeake, Virginia. That is riskier than about 8% of US census tracts.
28% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,573 a month against an average household income of $73,615 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$73,615
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.8006, -76.2284 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Park scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,573 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How College Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 13%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 512Total filings over 6 yrs
- 18.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.8%Peak (2011)
- 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.4%Food insecurity
- 18.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Park
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 512 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 18.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.8% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020809?
Census tract 51550020809 in the College Park neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550020809?
Median gross rent is $1,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020809?
5.2% of residents in tract 51550020809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 84th, minority 67th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 51550020809 considered part of College Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020809 fall within College Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550020809?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 512 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550020809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.72% of renter households, peaking at 23.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550020809 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550020809 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020809 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51550020809 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Westover
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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