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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

College Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550020809 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 5,145 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

51550020809 is a census tract in the College Park area of Chesapeake, VA. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Chesapeake City average of 49.2%.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$73,615

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In College Park
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Elevated
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.8006, -76.2284 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Park scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,573 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How College Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0208093.4Chesapeakeparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 512Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 18.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.8%Peak (2011)
  • 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51550020809
Filings dropped 37% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Park

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 512 filings here across 6 tracked years. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2011 at 23.8% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 18.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550020809

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020809?

Census tract 51550020809 in the College Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550020809?

Median gross rent is $1,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020809?

5.2% of residents in tract 51550020809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,145.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020809?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 84th, minority 67th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 51550020809 considered part of College Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020809 fall within College Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550020809?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 512 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550020809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.72% of renter households, peaking at 23.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51550020809 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51550020809 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550020809 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51550020809 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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