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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Bridge Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550020909 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,881 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 51550020909 covers the Oak Bridge Forest area of Chesapeake, home to 2,881 residents. For landlords it grades 4.6/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 64% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $84,330 a year. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$84,330

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oak Bridge Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Elevated
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#1,175 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7438, -76.2748 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Bridge Forest scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Oak Bridge Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Bridge Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 020909Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Bridge Forest

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550020909

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020909?

Census tract 51550020909 in the Oak Bridge Forest neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020909?

10.3% of residents in tract 51550020909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,881.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020909?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 26th, minority 55th, housing 6th.
Q4

Is tract 51550020909 considered part of Oak Bridge Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020909 fall within Oak Bridge Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 51550020909 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 51550020909 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550020909 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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