Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Bridge Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020909 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,881 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
51550020909 is a census tract in the Oak Bridge Forest area of Chesapeake, VA. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,881 residents. Severe burden reaches 64%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$84,330
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7438, -76.2748 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Bridge Forest scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Oak Bridge Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Bridge Forest
Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Chesapeake City average of 3.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020909
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020909?
Census tract 51550020909 in the Oak Bridge Forest neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020909?
10.3% of residents in tract 51550020909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,881.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020909?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 26th, minority 55th, housing 6th.
Q4
Is tract 51550020909 considered part of Oak Bridge Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020909 fall within Oak Bridge Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51550020909 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51550020909 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020909 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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