Eviction Risk in Savanna Heights , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021012 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 6,019 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51550021012 sits in the Savanna Heights neighborhood of Chesapeake, Virginia. It has a population of 6,019 and an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). 37% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 15% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,773/month against a median household income of $130,225 — roughly 16% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 6,042 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 4.9%
- White (non-Hispanic) 89.8%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 1.2%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 2.4%
- Other / Multiracial 1.7%
How the 4.1/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | — | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.3 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 3.5 | Chesapeake (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 1.5 | Chesapeake (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 3.0 | Chesapeake (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 3.5 | Chesapeake (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.2 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 5.5 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 215Total filings over 6 yrs
- 9.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.2%Peak (2014)
- 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
About tract 51550021012
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021012?
Census tract 51550021012 in the Savanna Heights neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 51550021012?
Median gross rent is $1,773/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021012?
4.9% of residents in tract 51550021012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,019.
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021012?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 14th, minority 24th, housing 12th.
Is tract 51550021012 considered part of Savanna Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021012 fall within Savanna Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021012?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550021012 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.98% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 51550021012 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.