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Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Long Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021104 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 5,026 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 51550021104 covers the Long Ridge area of Chesapeake, home to 5,026 residents. For landlords it grades 4.2/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 15th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $113,316 a year. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 4% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units968
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$113,316

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Long Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#1,644 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.6230, -76.1788 · click any tract to drill in

Why Long Ridge scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Long Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Long Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 021104Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Long Ridge

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021104?

Census tract 51550021104 in the Long Ridge neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021104?

5.0% of residents in tract 51550021104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,026.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 4th, minority 59th, housing 22th.
Q4

Is tract 51550021104 considered part of Long Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021104 fall within Long Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 51550021104 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 51550021104 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021104 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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