Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Deep Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021303 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,335 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
51550021303 is a census tract in the Deep Creek area of Chesapeake, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. 70% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units792
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate0.0%
Median income$127,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7322, -76.3411 · click any tract to drill in
Why Deep Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,330 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Deep Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Deep Creek
Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened. At $2,330 a month, rents run 47% over what the rest of Chesapeake commands. The voucher gap is 37.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.7/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.6 points below the Chesapeake City average of 3.6.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $127,250.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021303?
Census tract 51550021303 in the Deep Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021303?
Median gross rent is $2,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021303?
0.0% of residents in tract 51550021303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 24th, minority 48th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021303 considered part of Deep Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021303 fall within Deep Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550021303 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550021303 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021303 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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