Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Millville Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021304 ·
Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,357 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51550021304 in the Millville area of Chesapeake, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,357 residents. The severe-burden share is 86%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 1%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$121,105
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Millville
Moderate
Within parent city
27th percentile
#45 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Low
Within county
28th percentile
#44 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Low
Within state
18th percentile
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7523, -76.3191 · click any tract to drill in
Why Millville scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,807 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Millville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
30%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.0%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
11.6%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Millville
Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, 86% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
At $1,807 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Chesapeake commands. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. It sits 0.6 points below the Chesapeake City average of 3.6.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $121,105, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021304?
Census tract 51550021304 in the Millville neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021304?
Median gross rent is $1,807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 86% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021304?
2.0% of residents in tract 51550021304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,357.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 6th, minority 60th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021304 considered part of Millville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021304 fall within Millville (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550021304 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550021304 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021304 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.