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Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Millville Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021304 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,357 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51550021304 in Millville in Chesapeake ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,357 residents. On the national scale it ranks #65,961 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 86% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 86% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,807 monthly, set against $121,105 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 1% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$121,105

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Millville
Moderate
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Very Low
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#1,847 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7523, -76.3191 · click any tract to drill in

Why Millville scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,807 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Millville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Millville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 021304Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Millville

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021304?

Census tract 51550021304 in the Millville neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021304?

Median gross rent is $1,807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 86% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021304?

2.0% of residents in tract 51550021304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,357.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 6th, minority 60th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021304 considered part of Millville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021304 fall within Millville (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550021304 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550021304 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021304 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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