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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Grassfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021306 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,384 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 51550021306 sits in the Grassfield area of Chesapeake eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,384. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 21% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units670
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$140,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grassfield
Moderate
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#36 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Moderate
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7129, -76.3383 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grassfield scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,764 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Grassfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grassfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0213063.4Chesapeakeparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grassfield

Average gross rent is $2,764, 74% above the Chesapeake average. The voucher gap is 63.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $140,000.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021306

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021306?

Census tract 51550021306 in the Grassfield neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021306?

Median gross rent is $2,764/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021306?

1.7% of residents in tract 51550021306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,384.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 45th, minority 46th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021306 considered part of Grassfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021306 fall within Grassfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550021306 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550021306 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021306 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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