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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021503 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,929 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 51550021503 covers Forest Hills in Chesapeake in Virginia. Home to 3,929 residents, it scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #65,962 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 68% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $183,179 a year. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 1% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,319
Renter share2.9%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$183,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,772 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.8032, -76.4162 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hills scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Forest Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 021503Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021503?

Census tract 51550021503 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021503?

6.6% of residents in tract 51550021503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,929.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 29th, minority 66th, housing 2th.
Q4

Is tract 51550021503 considered part of Forest Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021503 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 51550021503 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 51550021503 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021503 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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