Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021503 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,929 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51550021503 is a census tract in the Forest Hills area of Chesapeake, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,929. The severe-burden share is 68%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,319
Renter share2.9%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$183,179
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.8032, -76.4162 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021503?
Census tract 51550021503 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021503?
6.6% of residents in tract 51550021503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,929.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 29th, minority 66th, housing 2th.
Q4
Is tract 51550021503 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021503 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51550021503 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51550021503 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021503 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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