Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Shorewood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021505 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 5,365 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 51550021505 covers part of the Shorewood area of Chesapeake, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,365 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,328
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$84,301
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.8282, -76.4253 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shorewood scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,601 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Shorewood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shorewood
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 49.2% across Chesapeake City.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. It sits 0.6 points above the Chesapeake City average of 3.6.
Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Chesapeake rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,601, close to the Chesapeake average.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $84,301. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021505?
Census tract 51550021505 in the Shorewood neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021505?
Median gross rent is $1,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021505?
12.8% of residents in tract 51550021505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,365.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 78th, minority 69th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021505 considered part of Shorewood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021505 fall within Shorewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550021505 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550021505 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021505 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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