Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Mallory Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021603 ·
Chesapeake city, VA · pop 1,693 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51550021603 in the Mallory Square area of Chesapeake, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,693. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 2%Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units574
Renter share1.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$109,010
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Mallory Square
Moderate
Within parent city
28th percentile
#44 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Low
Within county
38th percentile
#38 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Low
Within state
18th percentile
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.8393, -76.4059 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mallory Square scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Mallory Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
14%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.4%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
5.0%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
14.1%Frequent mental distress
26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mallory Square
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021603?
Census tract 51550021603 in the Mallory Square neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021603?
0.9% of residents in tract 51550021603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,693.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 17th, minority 41th, housing 5th.
Q4
Is tract 51550021603 considered part of Mallory Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021603 fall within Mallory Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51550021603 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51550021603 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021603 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.