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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Mallory Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021603 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 1,693 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Mallory Square area of Chesapeake for landlords? Census tract 51550021603 scores 3.1/10, the Lower tier. That is riskier than about 2% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $109,010 a year. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units574
Renter share1.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$109,010

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mallory Square
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#41 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#1,590 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.8393, -76.4059 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mallory Square scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Mallory Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mallory Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 021603Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mallory Square

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021603?

Census tract 51550021603 in the Mallory Square neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021603?

0.9% of residents in tract 51550021603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,693.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 17th, minority 41th, housing 5th.
Q4

Is tract 51550021603 considered part of Mallory Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021603 fall within Mallory Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 51550021603 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 51550021603 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021603 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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