Silverwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. At $1,775 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Chesapeake commands. It sits 0.6 points below the Chesapeake City average of 3.6.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.