Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Cornerstone Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg

Tract 51680001602 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,451 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Cornerstone area of Lynchburg, census tract 51680001602 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,316 a month while the average household earns $50,090 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 25% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,614

Renter share64.0%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate23.5%

Median income$50,090

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region

Centroid at 37.3432, -79.2233 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cornerstone scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynchburg

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

23.5% poverty · this tract

5.9

Supply constraint

$1,316 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynchburg

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.5

How Cornerstone compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
8%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.0%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cornerstone

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51680001602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001602?

Census tract 51680001602 in the Cornerstone neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51680001602?

Median gross rent is $1,316/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001602?

23.5% of residents in tract 51680001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,451.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 8th, minority 42th, housing 41th.

Is tract 51680001602 considered part of Cornerstone?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680001602 fall within Cornerstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51680001602 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51680001602 compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tract 51680001602 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lynchburg at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg

Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.