Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Woodbine Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg

Tract 51680000204 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 51680000204, in the Woodbine Village area of Lynchburg eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,824. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $940 a month against an average household income of $47,275 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 28% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,478

Renter share56.4%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate28.3%

Median income$47,275

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region

Centroid at 37.4143, -79.2176 · click any tract to drill in

Why Woodbine Village scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynchburg

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

28.3% poverty · this tract

7.1

Supply constraint

$940 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynchburg

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.5

How Woodbine Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.4%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
22.4%Food insecurity
22.6%SNAP enrollment
12.4%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
19.9%Frequent mental distress
36.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Woodbine Village

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51680000204

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000204?

Census tract 51680000204 in the Woodbine Village neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51680000204?

Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000204?

28.3% of residents in tract 51680000204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,824.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 34th, minority 73th, housing 52th.

Is tract 51680000204 considered part of Woodbine Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000204 fall within Woodbine Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51680000204 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51680000204 compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tract 51680000204 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lynchburg at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51680000204 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg

Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.