Woodbine Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000204 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 51680000204 in the Woodbine Village area of Lynchburg, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.4143, -79.2176 · click any tract to drill in
Why Woodbine Village scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Woodbine Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.4%Housing insecurity
- 13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 22.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Woodbine Village
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Lynchburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Cost burden runs about half here against 43.8% across Lynchburg City. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.
SNAP participation runs 22.6% against 15.2% nationally. At $940 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Lynchburg commands.
This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lynchburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $47,275.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51680000204
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000204?
What is the average rent in tract 51680000204?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000204?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000204?
Is tract 51680000204 considered part of Woodbine Village?
What share of households in tract 51680000204 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51680000204 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Was tract 51680000204 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.