Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
College Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680001601 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,083 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51680001601 sits in the College Park area of Lynchburg eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 3,083. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,169
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate26.9%
Median income$42,731
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.3512, -79.1968 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Park scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.9% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How College Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.7%Food insecurity
- 22.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Park
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against Lynchburg City at 43.8%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Lynchburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.
SNAP participation runs 22.3% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $980, 9% below the Lynchburg average.
On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680001601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001601?
Census tract 51680001601 in the College Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680001601?
Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001601?
26.9% of residents in tract 51680001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,083.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 2th, minority 56th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 51680001601 considered part of College Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680001601 fall within College Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51680001601 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51680001601 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680001601 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westend
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cornerstone
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lower Rivermont
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Related