Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Bay View Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710000201 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,558 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51710000201 sits in the Bay View Beach area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Population here is 2,558. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,400
Renter share69.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$49,773
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9440, -76.2375 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay View Beach scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,069 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Bay View Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 64%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 769Total filings over 2 yrs
- 43.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 57.1%Peak (2011)
- 276Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay View Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.1%Food insecurity
- 19.5%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay View Beach
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,069, 19% below the Norfolk average.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 769 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 57.1% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 43.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710000201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710000201?
Census tract 51710000201 in the Bay View Beach neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710000201?
Median gross rent is $1,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710000201?
16.0% of residents in tract 51710000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,558.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710000201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 71th, minority 55th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51710000201 considered part of Bay View Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710000201 fall within Bay View Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710000201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 769 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710000201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.53% of renter households, peaking at 57.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710000201 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710000201 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710000201 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710000201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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