Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Bay View Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710000202 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 4,314 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51710000202 covers part of the Bay View Beach area of Norfolk, VA, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,314. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.6/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,829
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$70,691
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9374, -76.2390 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay View Beach scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,124 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Bay View Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 32%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 537Total filings over 2 yrs
- 38.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.9%Peak (2011)
- 241Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay View Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.0%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay View Beach
Cost burden runs 61% here against 50.4% across Norfolk City. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 537 filings here across 2 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,124, 15% below the Norfolk average.
It sits 0.8 points below the Norfolk City average of 4.1. Filings peaked in 2011 at 36.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 38.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710000202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710000202?
Census tract 51710000202 in the Bay View Beach neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710000202?
Median gross rent is $1,124/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710000202?
10.1% of residents in tract 51710000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710000202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 78th, minority 65th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 51710000202 considered part of Bay View Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710000202 fall within Bay View Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710000202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 537 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.74% of renter households, peaking at 36.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710000202 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710000202 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710000202 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710000202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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