Bay View Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710000202 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 4,314 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51710000202, home to 4,314 residents in Bay View Beach in Norfolk, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,124 a month against an average household income of $70,691 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9374, -76.2390 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay View Beach scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bay View Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 32%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 537Total filings over 2 yrs
- 38.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.9%Peak (2011)
- 241Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay View Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.0%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Bay View Beach
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51710000202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710000202?
What is the average rent in tract 51710000202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710000202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710000202?
Is tract 51710000202 considered part of Bay View Beach?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710000202?
What share of households in tract 51710000202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51710000202 compare to Norfolk overall?
Was tract 51710000202 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.