Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Lochhaven Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710001100 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,941 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 51710001100, home to 1,941 residents in the Lochhaven neighborhood of Norfolk, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,286 monthly, set against $42,422 in average yearly household income, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,091
Renter share80.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$42,422
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9297, -76.3123 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lochhaven scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Lochhaven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 83%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 599Total filings over 2 yrs
- 31.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 41.4%Peak (2011)
- 200Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.8%Housing insecurity
- 14.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.5%Food insecurity
- 25.2%SNAP enrollment
- 15.9%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 22.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lochhaven
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710001100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710001100?
Census tract 51710001100 in the Lochhaven neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710001100?
Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710001100?
19.7% of residents in tract 51710001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,941.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710001100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 8th, minority 73th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 51710001100 considered part of Lochhaven?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710001100 fall within Lochhaven (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710001100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 599 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.77% of renter households, peaking at 41.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710001100 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710001100 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710001100 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710001100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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