Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Ghent Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710003600 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,977 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Ghent neighborhood of Norfolk centers on tract 51710003600, which scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,977 residents. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.
About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,616 a month against an average household income of $64,536 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share83.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$64,536
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8657, -76.2874 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ghent scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,616 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Ghent compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 42%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 80Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2016)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ghent
What moves this score most is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 80 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 5.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.9% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710003600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710003600?
Census tract 51710003600 in the Ghent neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710003600?
Median gross rent is $1,616/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710003600?
7.9% of residents in tract 51710003600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,977.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710003600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 3th, minority 52th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 51710003600 considered part of Ghent?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710003600 fall within Ghent (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710003600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 80 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710003600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.48% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710003600 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710003600 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710003600 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710003600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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